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User Info Consumer Deleveraging Continues in forum [Ticker]
Genesis
Posts: 71432
Incept: 2007-06-26
A True American Patriot!
KD^2
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http://market-ticker.org/archives/1312-C....



Credit Total

Non-Revolving

Credit Cards

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"The monetary base in ALL modern monetary systems is the sum of unencumbered assets against which one is both WILLING AND ABLE to borrow." - Me
2009-08-07 15:31:06
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Junkyard
Posts: 5251
Incept: 2007-11-06

NZ: land of the damned
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Cheers KD.

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It's the people in power having to admit that they know ... But you don't say it...
It's a conglomarate. If one of them betrays the principles of the accrual of money and power, the others betray him.
2009-08-07 15:33:23
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Guyfawkes
Posts: 352
Incept: 2008-09-19
Texas
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Could this be driven just by higher wage earners (who have a higher ability to pay more debt down) while the lower-middle and lower classes are still consuming credit (i.e., spending)?

EDIT: Could the wealthy be cutting back more than the lower-to-middle class is continuing to spend?

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It's still "We, the People".....right?

Last modified: 2009-08-07 15:43:06 by guyfawkes

2009-08-07 15:41:26
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Genesis
Posts: 71432
Incept: 2007-06-26
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KD^2
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The credit card .vs. non-credit-card change was significant. The paydowns/charge-offs are coming much faster and harder in the credit card (revolving) segment.

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"The monetary base in ALL modern monetary systems is the sum of unencumbered assets against which one is both WILLING AND ABLE to borrow." - Me
2009-08-07 15:42:27
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13thgeneration
Posts: 645
Incept: 2007-12-03

rock <-----> hard place
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Take that graph and deduct the Federal Government/Sallie Mae borrowing.


2009-08-07 15:51:26
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Turbojerry
Posts: 136
Incept: 2008-10-10
London
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You nearly gave me a heart attack until I realised the legend should be Millions not Billions or you need to remove 3 trailing 0s.

2009-08-07 16:00:11
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Genesis
Posts: 71432
Incept: 2007-06-26
A True American Patriot!
KD^2
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Updated to include the non-revolving and revolving breakdown.

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"The monetary base in ALL modern monetary systems is the sum of unencumbered assets against which one is both WILLING AND ABLE to borrow." - Me
2009-08-07 16:01:01
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Escaping_east
Posts: 107
Incept: 2009-04-19
Europe
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http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=2....

Quote:

Aug. 7 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy may be just as sluggish during the next 20 years as Japan’s economy was in the last 20, according to Comstock Partners, a money manager founded and run by Charles Minter.

Stimulus programs and a surging money supply aren’t likely to “solve a problem of excess debt generation that resulted from greed and living way beyond our means,” the firm wrote yesterday in an unsigned report on its Web site. “We could wind up with a lost couple of decades.


Doesn't seem too well...

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The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money

Last modified: 2009-08-07 16:14:37 by escaping_east

2009-08-07 16:14:06
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Ilikecoffee
Posts: 1019
Incept: 2008-04-17

cold , AK
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That sure makes trailing P/E look like it is the only P/E that counts.

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You can trust the government, ask any American Indian.

"When people lose everything and they have nothing left to lose, they lose it" Gerald Celente
2009-08-07 16:16:39
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Pabloescobar
Posts: 5325
Incept: 2008-04-23

Pacific Northwest
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So revolving declines are most likely charge offs. Haven't we heard that all the major companies are charging off 10% of total lately?

And the non revolving has flatlined because no new car loans and mortgages, and current car loans are being paid off, and mortgages are not being foreclosed.




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“Science is built up with facts, as a house is with stones. But a collection of facts is no more a science than a heap of stones is a house.” - Jules Henri Poincare
2009-08-07 16:26:04
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Steelhead23
Posts: 388
Incept: 2008-09-09
Portland OR
Online
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Gen - Did you miss Turbojerry's comment? Is there really 2.4 quadrillion in consumer debt? That has to be too much. 2.4 Trillion maybe.

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short em all - let God sort em out!
2009-08-07 16:48:28
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Rmonical
Posts: 2155
Incept: 2007-07-04
A True American Patriot!
Omaha
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Are HELOCs counted in revolving credit or someplace else?

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The truth is out there
2009-08-07 17:05:39
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Genesis
Posts: 71432
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KD^2
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Pablo, this does not include mortgages.

HELOCs and cars (fixed-term non-revolving) is in the non-revolving category. Revolving is credit cards.

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"The monetary base in ALL modern monetary systems is the sum of unencumbered assets against which one is both WILLING AND ABLE to borrow." - Me
2009-08-07 17:06:41
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Nanna
Posts: 2630
Incept: 2008-01-20
NY State
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Outstanding U.S. consumer debt fell by $10.3 billion, or 4.9 percent at an annual rate, to $2.5 trillion, the Federal Reserve said. That's a much steeper cut than the $4.7 billion analysts expected, according to Thomson Reuters.

June's reduction follows a 2.6 percent cut in May and a steep 8.2 percent drop in April, when consumers reduced their borrowing by $17.4 billion. That was the most in dollar terms on records dating back to 1943.

Widespread job losses, declining home values and reduced stock portfolios have spurred Americans to spend less and save more.


http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Consumers-....

2009-08-07 17:11:35
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Genesis
Posts: 71432
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KD^2
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By the way, I said that was going to happen, if you go back and read my Ticker on the May release

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"The monetary base in ALL modern monetary systems is the sum of unencumbered assets against which one is both WILLING AND ABLE to borrow." - Me
2009-08-07 17:12:33
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Eaglewwit
Posts: 1890
Incept: 2007-11-30
SoCal
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Exactly about the PE's. How can earnings grow in sustainable fashion when the consumer is deleveraging.

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"Not even I imagined we would see trillions of dollars being created and given to the culprits as a means of allegedly "saving" the system. This is not mere Keynesianism; it is Keynesianism on steroids and crystal meth."
2009-08-07 17:30:41
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Jlk
Posts: 1234
Incept: 2009-05-24

Philadelphia
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"Guyfawkes" wrote..
Could this be driven just by higher wage earners (who have a higher ability to pay more debt down) while the lower-middle and lower classes are still consuming credit (i.e., spending)?


I'm not sure how much CC debt the average high wage earner has.

2009-08-07 17:36:40
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Pabloescobar
Posts: 5325
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Pacific Northwest
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Isn't the other data point that sometime this year consumers were required to pay double the minimum payment?

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“Science is built up with facts, as a house is with stones. But a collection of facts is no more a science than a heap of stones is a house.” - Jules Henri Poincare
2009-08-07 17:39:42
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Kab
Posts: 629
Incept: 2009-04-02
Colorado
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Well the good news is at least they're deleveraging right? Not that they have much choice but I'd rather get this over with sooner than later.

2009-08-07 17:43:14
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Pabloescobar
Posts: 5325
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Pacific Northwest
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Chase’s new 5% minimum payment: An increase so onerous, it would make a loan shark’s mother proud
Mar 15th, 2009 by Dr Robert Lahm.


http://www.changeinterms.com/2009/03/15/....

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“Science is built up with facts, as a house is with stones. But a collection of facts is no more a science than a heap of stones is a house.” - Jules Henri Poincare
2009-08-07 17:43:28
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Randy123
Posts: 2006
Incept: 2008-09-24
New Jersey
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I think I would take Japan's economy right now if you told me that was an option.

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Mliu is my hero. Captain melamine.
2009-08-07 17:50:53
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Shortqqq
Posts: 314
Incept: 2007-07-20

las vegas
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Deleveraging or Defaulting?

2009-08-07 18:08:41
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Hihoherewego
Posts: 595
Incept: 2009-02-25
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I'll just put it this way, even WalMart when you walk into them are obviously way down on consumer traffic at least for the five I've visited recently here in So. California. The parking lots reflect it too.

The number of checkout lanes with open signs lit up even on weekends are in my estimation down sharply much less the number of people standing in line, and most importantly the types of items they have in their less-than-usually filled carts which are mainly filled with ever cheaper stuff, essentials, and fewer high end items such as t.v.'s etc.

People are holding onto cash because they don't know or better said have confidence that they will still have a job come January of 2010.

..............

Liberty isn't free.

Last modified: 2009-08-07 18:22:31 by hihoherewego

2009-08-07 18:22:09
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Hihoherewego
Posts: 595
Incept: 2009-02-25
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Then you have the wealthier folks like in Malibu who aren't spending quite as much either. This could have something to do with it......

http://www.westsideremeltdown.blogspot.c....

............

Liberty isn't free.

2009-08-07 18:55:37
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Wawawa
Posts: 104
Incept: 2009-03-18
San Diego, CA
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what is vertical axes numbers? Are they in Billions? That is too much!

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RAT RACE IS OVER, RATS WON :)

Last modified: 2009-08-07 19:31:28 by wawawa

2009-08-07 19:31:02
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