Detailed market commentary at The Market Ticker and Ticker Classics (The Year 2009 In Review)
Seeing huge swings in your account value? On margin? Read my "Come to Jesus" Ticker? If not, please do. Click here.
BlogTalkRadio - Mondays at 3:30 Central - Yes, TickerGuy has a radio show (kinda)
See The Federationists on their new web site and forum.
Donate to obtain GOLD ACCESS for enhanced privileges. Interested in T-Shirts, caps and coffee mugs? Click here.
RSS available
MarketTicker Forums Read Message in Ticker User: Not logged on

Top Forum Top Login Control Panel FAQ Register Logout

Showing Page 1 of 3  First123Last
User Info BEN: SOLD TO YOU! in forum [Ticker]
Genesis
Posts: 71358
Incept: 2007-06-26
A True American Patriot!
KD^2
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List Ignore this thread
http://market-ticker.org/archives/924-BE....

----------
"The monetary base in ALL modern monetary systems is the sum of unencumbered assets against which one is both WILLING AND ABLE to borrow." - Me
2009-04-02 12:03:50
Permalink
Eternalblue
Posts: 4230
Incept: 2007-08-09

sokali
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List

despite the masters of the universe, the correct solution to depression; do nothing

----------
my miniblog;

http://economicpsychosis.blogspot.com/
2009-04-02 12:08:40
Permalink
Jazen
Posts: 1509
Incept: 2007-07-17
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Holy ****.

----------
Y'all smoke this **** to escape reality?
Me, I don't need this ****.
I am reality.

2009-04-02 12:09:10
Permalink
Randy123
Posts: 2001
Incept: 2008-09-24
New Jersey
Online
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Yep, only a matter of time. Buying Ts was the game changer when it happened.

----------

Mliu is my hero. Captain melamine.
2009-04-02 12:13:43
Permalink
Cheapbastud
Posts: 659
Incept: 2007-10-09

F is for FAIL
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Karl, this part seems like it's missing something:

"it will not be long before The Fed owns enough of the long end of the curve to effectively by the "whip hand","

like there is a word or two missing.

2009-04-02 12:17:12
Permalink
Hopeandpray
Posts: 5
Incept: 2009-03-19
Boston, MA
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
But doesn't that mean banks will make even more money?

2009-04-02 12:18:00
Permalink
Phirang
Posts: 8822
Incept: 2008-10-25

bar khoba's revenge
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
higher interest rates will kill asset prices

----------
The Treasury can issue debt on your behalf because the State can and will stomp the wealth out of you and your family.
2009-04-02 12:20:13
Permalink
Creditcalmass
Posts: 1144
Incept: 2008-06-04
4 train, NY
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
The light at the end of the tunnel just blew it's whistle.

2009-04-02 12:20:58
Permalink
Cheapbastud
Posts: 659
Incept: 2007-10-09

F is for FAIL
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
damn, fastest keys in the south!

2009-04-02 12:22:36
Permalink
Steelpiston71
Posts: 2014
Incept: 2007-09-05
Michigan
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
"right into the maw of this economic and banking mess" banking morass seems more appropriate, what a sham.

----------
"The Data Do Not Lie", Mr Mortgage (aka Hedgefundmanip), April 16th March Foreclosure Crisis Video.
2009-04-02 12:24:08
Permalink
Rich_lather
Posts: 7
Incept: 2008-04-23
Tallahassee
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Isn't short-term debt roll-over what whacked Russia in 1998? Aren't we setting ourselves up for the same?

2009-04-02 12:24:53
Permalink
Firefly
Posts: 170
Incept: 2009-03-20

NYC
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Forgive me, as a computer nerd I am not sure I understand what is/did/will happening with this. Can someone explain it in 100 words or less that an above average intellect who is ignorant on such matters can understand?

2009-04-02 12:25:59
Permalink
Phirang
Posts: 8822
Incept: 2008-10-25

bar khoba's revenge
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
SAME ****ING THING HAPPENED TO UK in 1967!!!

Obongo = mongrel version of Harry Wilson


----------
The Treasury can issue debt on your behalf because the State can and will stomp the wealth out of you and your family.
2009-04-02 12:26:46
Permalink
Timbo
Posts: 1132
Incept: 2008-10-10 A True American Patriot!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Why, no! All of this Depression stuff was before we knew about Dissertationomics. If you goose the throttle hard enough, the mountain goes away.

----------
http://mises.org/story/770
http://www.theplacewithnoname.com/blogs/klessons/index.html
If you don't fly the plane and find a place to land, then God will find a place to park you.
2009-04-02 12:26:56
Permalink
Gmak
Posts: 10176
Incept: 2007-07-27

Re-inventing the future at the speed of time.
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
deleted

Last modified: 2009-04-02 12:29:04 by gmak

2009-04-02 12:28:13
Permalink
Txdomer
Posts: 967
Incept: 2007-11-07

Ding-dong, the Fed is dead!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
At this rate it will not be long before The Fed owns enough of the long end of the curve to effectively by the "whip hand", at which point external financing for the government is all in the short end.


Karl, would you care to estimate how long it will take?

----------
"Economics is not practiced as a science. Rather, it is a pretentious way to covertly promote political prejudices."

- Fred Harrison
http://renegadeeconomist.com
2009-04-02 12:29:27
Permalink
Stoverny
Posts: 250
Incept: 2009-02-25
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
There is some momentum now in the markets so I think they feel it's now or never for their hail mary pass...

2009-04-02 12:31:47
Permalink
Baldy
Posts: 6554
Incept: 2008-05-16

Pittsburgh
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Don't know if this shows any correlation that anyone can assess - I listed the POMOs and durations bought and amount offered vs bought http://www.tickerforum.org/cgi-ticker/ak.... OH LOOK at Fed Funds the other day- high was a bit high, dont know if this means anything... 03/31 0.16 0.01 1 0.09 0.00 - 0.25

----------
FY2011 Budget - Hist'l Tables (PDF 2.0 MB) http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/fy2011/assets/hist.pdf 1996-2011 budgets: http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/browse.html

Last modified: 2009-04-02 12:40:41 by baldy
Reason: fed fund rate hit high of 1.0 on 3/31

2009-04-02 12:35:02
Permalink
Captbill
Posts: 485
Incept: 2008-07-22
A True American Patriot!
Arizona's West Coast
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
But Cramer said on CNBS just this morning "The Depression is Over" and we go up from here on...
(sarc off)

Boy Karl, you don't miss ANYTHING!

2009-04-02 12:37:45
Permalink
Reza30
Posts: 233
Incept: 2009-02-15
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Folks, it seems Ben has a way of starting slow with something and then it snowballs from there. Remember his small interest rate cuts leading the way for larger reductions?

So he started out with 300 billion in fresh cash to purchase government debt. What if he ups it to a trillion? 2 trillion? 3 trillion?

Can't he eventually force the rates down this way? Remember that he is not bound by the gold standard and the limitations of available gold.

Just my 2 Cents

Last modified: 2009-04-02 12:44:25 by reza30

2009-04-02 12:42:08
Permalink
Tesla
Posts: 8174
Incept: 2008-04-03
A True American Patriot!
Delaware
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
.never mind., original post was edited

----------
"Neither the wisest Constitution nor the wisest laws will secure the liberty and happiness of a people whose manners are universally corrupt." Samuel Adams

I'd rather die on my feet than live on my knees. - Emiliano Zapata

Last modified: 2009-04-02 12:52:33 by tesla
Reason: op quoted was edited

2009-04-02 12:43:40
Permalink
Genesis
Posts: 71358
Incept: 2007-06-26
A True American Patriot!
KD^2
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
So he started out with 300 billion in fresh cash to purchase government debt. What if he ups it to a trillion? 2 trillion? 3 trillion?

He winds up owning the entire long end before he gets to $2 trillion.

Now what?

That is no longer a funding source for the government, that's what. This compresses the actual external funding into the short end.

The squeeze comes on hard and fast the further he goes and when the overcenter point is reached he's ****ed.

----------
"The monetary base in ALL modern monetary systems is the sum of unencumbered assets against which one is both WILLING AND ABLE to borrow." - Me
2009-04-02 12:43:56
Permalink
Makoshark
Posts: 142
Incept: 2007-11-28

S. Carolina
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Tesla, he wrote "not bound"

----------
Putting out fire with gasoline
2009-04-02 12:45:43
Permalink
Berkleyreindeer
Posts: 560
Incept: 2008-07-22
Minneapolis , MN
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
I thought the most interesting part of the ticker was a three word bit, not the numbers involved, which were obviously bad.
"on the run"
to the uninitiated, that means he was buying at auction or the most recent issue of that duration (from the last auction).
why is this important?
1--(possibly) he knows the dealers don't want to issue strong bids. this is very important in light of them losing another primary dealer.
2--or he knows the foreign banks simply aren't bidding
3--"off the run" bonds have higher rates because they are less liquid. Ben is doing this by auction, and he could choose any issue to buy. why would he intentionally take a lower return? If he is overpaying either way, why not absorb the higher yielding paper?
4--bernanke is buying exactly the same durations the treasury is issuing...2 5 and 7's primarily. This reeks of sticking the finger in the dike after a leak is found.

----------
It'll get worse. Just wait.
2009-04-02 12:49:42
Permalink
Genesis
Posts: 71358
Incept: 2007-06-26
A True American Patriot!
KD^2
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
#2.

----------
"The monetary base in ALL modern monetary systems is the sum of unencumbered assets against which one is both WILLING AND ABLE to borrow." - Me
2009-04-02 12:50:49
Permalink
Top Forum Top Login Control Panel Logout
Showing Page 1 of 3  First123Last

AKCS V12.1 Copyright 1993-2010 Karl Denninger. All Rights Reserved
Email the AKCS Owner